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Red27
378614.9
25554.8
290611.1
Blue126
455919.1
457927.3
472616.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46650208010012014016027126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#12
14.91.9
21.820.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
4579
#16
27.35.3
29.935.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2906
#21
11.11.9
16.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4559
#17
19.15.3
16.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2555
#32
4.81.9
11.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
4726
#22
16.85.3
16.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End