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Red154
371140.9
292620.4
412548.5
Blue109
369341.9
292323.2
511119.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11574050100150200154109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.8
48.148.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3693
#16
41.90.5
40.440.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.90.8
40.541.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
2923
#31
23.20.5
21.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2926
#22
20.40.8
20.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
19.60.5
18.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End