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Red121
298011.8
214939.2
381239.8
Blue155
323841.5
378922.0
358853.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84118050100150200250121155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.5
39.440.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
53.30.7
52.052.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.20.5
38.839.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
41.50.7
40.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#21
11.80.5
11.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
3789
#19
22.00.7
20.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End