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Red108
412548.5
292620.4
371140.9
Blue118
511119.6
292323.2
369341.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11775050100150200108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.0
48.948.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3693
#16
41.90.6
40.841.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.90.0
41.341.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
2923
#31
23.20.6
22.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2926
#22
20.40.0
20.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
19.60.6
18.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End