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Red218
307045.1
255752.9
49237.9
Blue108
241252.6
403035.6
455928.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119110050150200250300350218108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#13
52.95.0
47.252.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2412
#19
52.60.1
53.853.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.15.0
33.538.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
4030
#11
35.60.1
36.636.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
492
#8
37.95.0
36.741.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
4559
#31
28.40.1
20.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End