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Red155
292854.9
326831.5
378722.4
Blue122
125821.4
491556.2
94922.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10289050150200250300155122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.92.8
53.756.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4915
#18
56.21.6
49.350.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3268
#12
31.52.8
30.433.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
949
#28
22.91.6
21.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3787
#17
22.42.8
15.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1258
#32
21.41.6
20.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End