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Red105
454217.0
241249.9
368427.9
Blue27
368115.1
378716.7
326814.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045010015020010527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.94.0
16.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.3
3787
#11
16.71.7
15.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3684
#19
27.94.0
26.330.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
3681
#32
15.11.7
17.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4542
#27
17.04.0
14.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3268
#13
14.51.7
14.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End