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Red58
292836.9
403018.8
189934.4
Blue85
48841.8
252246.7
322325.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77600501001502005885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#21
36.91.4
29.327.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
46.71.9
22.524.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1899
#18
34.41.4
24.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
488
#22
41.81.9
24.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4030
#10
18.81.4
20.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3223
#15
25.61.9
15.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End