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Red138
292836.9
252246.7
403834.1
Blue85
407741.0
291016.9
293031.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8358010015020013885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.74.9
28.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
41.02.0
20.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2928
#21
36.94.9
27.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
31.42.0
26.428.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#16
34.14.9
22.827.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
2910
#26
16.92.0
14.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End