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Red5
454217.0
468221.7
368115.1
Blue37
403018.8
94912.6
322325.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77510100150200537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#25
21.75.3
32.427.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3223
#15
25.61.4
23.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4542
#27
17.05.3
28.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4030
#10
18.81.4
26.625.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3681
#32
15.15.3
12.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
949
#23
12.61.4
4.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End