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Red146
403834.1
131853.6
491834.7
Blue212
368427.9
468134.2
293031.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11872050100150200250300146212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.62.8
54.156.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
4681
#17
34.210.3
25.535.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4918
#24
34.72.8
30.132.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
31.410.3
28.138.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#16
34.12.8
26.329.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3684
#19
27.910.3
25.535.8
Auto
Teleop
End