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Red141
491540.9
49229.6
382620.5
Blue88
189934.4
292836.9
378716.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798605015020025030035040014188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.94.8
35.540.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2928
#21
36.90.3
40.941.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
#4
29.64.8
24.529.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1899
#18
34.40.3
21.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
20.54.8
19.924.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3787
#11
16.70.3
22.122.3
Auto
Teleop
End