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Red73
49229.6
131853.6
451211.6
Blue61
491834.7
368115.1
468315.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1015101502007361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.2
52.951.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
4918
#24
34.70.2
32.332.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
#4
29.61.2
32.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
4683
#28
15.90.2
15.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4512
#30
11.61.2
8.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3681
#32
15.10.2
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End