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Red51
48841.8
293031.4
468221.7
Blue120
382620.5
241249.9
407741.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100925015020051120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
41.82.9
34.631.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
49.91.6
40.141.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31.42.9
38.135.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
41.01.6
32.734.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4682
#25
21.72.9
26.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
20.51.6
20.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End