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Quarterfinal 2-12014 Wisconsin Regional
Red130
301858.7
125931.8
70661.6
Blue176
208150.2
173656.9
9351.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142158100200250130176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#15
61.60.2
59.0→58.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
1736
#17
56.90.3
55.8→56.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3018
#4
58.70.2
56.1→55.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.1
93
#5
51.70.3
50.6→50.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1259
#12
31.80.2
29.2→28.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.4
2081
#18
50.20.3
49.1→49.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—