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Semifinal 2-12014 Wisconsin Regional
Red200
173254.2
248162.8
220243.5
Blue107
429628.5
253046.9
16750.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15712050100200250200107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#2
62.80.8
60.0→60.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
167
#11
50.20.3
50.2→49.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1732
#22
54.21.0
50.7→51.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
2530
#6
46.90.4
46.8→46.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2202
#49
43.50.8
40.6→41.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.0
4296
#9
28.50.3
28.5→28.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—