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Quarterfinal 2-22014 Wisconsin Regional
Red210
70661.6
125931.8
301858.7
Blue172
9351.7
208150.2
173656.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141159100150200250210172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#15
61.61.1
58.8→59.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
1736
#17
56.90.3
56.1→56.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3018
#4
58.71.1
55.8→57.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.1
93
#5
51.70.3
50.9→51.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1259
#12
31.81.1
28.9→30.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.4
2081
#18
50.20.3
49.4→49.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—