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Red175
248162.8
220243.5
173254.2
Blue146
253046.9
16750.2
429628.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16111850100200250175146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.4
60.861.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
167
#11
50.20.4
49.950.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1732
#22
54.20.4
51.752.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
46.90.4
46.446.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2202
#49
43.50.4
41.541.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
28.50.4
28.228.5
Auto
Teleop
End