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Red78
485915.7
167543.6
478630.9
Blue141
93816.9
341835.2
70661.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4488010015020025078141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#14
43.62.3
23.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
706
#15
61.63.3
47.050.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4786
#40
30.91.4
15.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3418
#13
35.25.0
21.926.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4859
#59
15.72.3
12.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
938
#52
16.93.0
12.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End