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Red78
414340.3
206234.0
319726.2
Blue86
53762.7
162224.3
301858.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771380501002002507886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#41
40.30.4
41.641.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
537
#1
62.72.1
59.457.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2062
#44
34.00.7
27.226.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.7
58.72.6
52.349.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3197
#31
26.20.5
18.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1622
#21
24.32.1
17.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End