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Qual 392014 Wisconsin Regional
Red144
167543.6
219438.4
282637.0
Blue118
220243.5
330017.8
208150.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8598050150200144118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#14
43.64.7
26.8→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
2081
#18
50.21.1
39.0→40.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2194
#16
38.42.8
17.8→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
2202
#49
43.51.1
38.1→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2826
#32
37.02.8
42.8→45.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.2
3300
#51
17.81.2
19.4→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—