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Red205
130633.8
248162.8
53762.7
Blue122
173656.9
173254.2
247029.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13097050150200250205122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.84.0
47.451.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1736
#17
56.91.0
45.246.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
537
#1
62.74.0
57.261.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
1732
#22
54.21.7
47.449.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1306
#36
33.86.6
20.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
29.31.7
9.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End