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Red131
16750.2
40959.6
70661.6
Blue218
130633.8
11138.9
9351.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12982050100150200250131218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#15
61.60.5
59.159.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
93
#5
51.76.4
41.147.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
167
#11
50.20.5
50.450.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
111
#53
38.910.7
29.640.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4095
#55
9.60.8
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
1306
#36
33.810.7
18.929.6
Auto
Teleop
End