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Red70
283017.2
270532.9
330017.8
Blue106
373419.3
247029.3
341835.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636220408010070106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#56
32.90.6
32.833.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3418
#13
35.23.7
24.127.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3300
#51
17.80.4
19.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
29.33.4
18.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2830
#57
17.20.6
10.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3734
#35
19.33.4
19.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End