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Red46
429628.5
338112.0
125931.8
Blue89
203935.1
17131.6
109131.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651070501502004689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#12
31.81.3
30.429.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2039
#48
35.10.6
36.335.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
28.51.3
27.826.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
171
#42
31.60.6
32.231.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3381
#50
12.01.3
13.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.3
1091
#19
31.30.6
31.931.3
Auto
Teleop
End