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Red147
9351.7
171615.1
208150.2
Blue107
270532.9
130633.8
313518.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11672050100150200250147107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#5
51.71.9
48.750.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
1306
#36
33.82.0
31.733.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2081
#18
50.21.9
47.249.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
2705
#56
32.91.9
31.032.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1716
#33
15.11.9
13.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3135
#58
18.01.9
16.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End