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Red147
205461.2
495637.8
400341.1
Blue11
335720.9
150212.6
277124.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1466905010020025030035040014711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
Unranked
61.20.6
55.656.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.6
2771
Unranked
24.63.5
32.228.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4003
Unranked
41.10.6
44.445.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
3357
Unranked
20.93.5
31.628.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4956
Unranked
37.80.6
34.635.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
1502
Unranked
12.63.5
16.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End