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Red63
387512.1
7448.3
10739.2
Blue165
516249.2
295964.8
496763.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78207010030040063165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
Unranked
48.31.7
47.545.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
2959
Unranked
64.81.1
65.264.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
39.21.7
37.035.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.9
4967
Unranked
63.11.1
70.669.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3875
Unranked
12.11.7
13.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.1
5162
Unranked
49.21.1
51.450.3
Auto
Teleop
End