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Red156
516249.2
205461.2
10739.2
Blue139
323436.0
495637.8
90432.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15191050200250300350156139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
Unranked
61.20.7
56.457.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
4956
Unranked
37.81.9
35.437.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5162
Unranked
49.20.7
48.148.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3234
Unranked
36.01.9
33.635.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
107
Unranked
39.20.7
37.338.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
904
Unranked
32.81.9
31.033.0
Auto
Teleop
End