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Red71
354726.9
400427.2
387512.1
Blue72
35466.3
150212.6
496763.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589001502002503007172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
Unranked
27.20.4
24.625.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.9
4967
Unranked
63.10.7
64.163.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3547
Unranked
26.90.4
27.327.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1502
Unranked
12.60.7
13.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3875
Unranked
12.10.4
11.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3546
Unranked
6.30.7
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End