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Red106
35466.3
191888.1
387512.1
Blue71
10739.2
400341.1
201341.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108164020030040010671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
88.10.5
88.788.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.0
4003
Unranked
41.14.2
52.147.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3875
Unranked
12.10.5
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.9
2013
Unranked
41.04.2
59.455.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3546
Unranked
6.30.5
13.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.8
107
Unranked
39.24.2
44.239.9
Auto
Teleop
End