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Red250
357251.9
495637.8
496763.1
Blue136
323436.0
247433.8
362052.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155130050100200250300350250136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
Unranked
63.15.0
67.172.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
3620
Unranked
52.60.1
60.760.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3572
Unranked
51.95.0
51.956.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
3234
Unranked
36.00.1
39.539.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4956
Unranked
37.85.0
32.037.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2474
Unranked
33.80.1
33.733.8
Auto
Teleop
End