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Red48
511710.3
201337.4
473317.0
Blue56
463316.0
459119.4
562918.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023060801001204856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#2Sur
37.40.5
25.726.2
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 17.9
4591
#10Sur
19.42.5
11.514.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
4733
#21Sur
17.00.8
6.37.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5629
#20Sur
18.12.5
8.310.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
5117
#31
10.30.8
6.47.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
4633
#19
16.02.5
6.59.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0