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Red48
169515.3
561514.9
506421.4
Blue61
401016.2
562019.7
356226.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274701001502004861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5064
#14Sur
21.41.9
15.117.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3562
#9Sur
26.40.8
19.920.6
Auto0.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
1695
#18Sur
15.31.9
8.210.1
Auto0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5620
#12Sur
19.71.3
14.515.7
Auto0.0
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5615
#23Sur
14.91.9
7.79.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4010
#16Sur
16.20.8
11.512.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0