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Red43
213038.1
462510.6
314524.6
Blue14
572518.4
463316.0
501534.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801001204314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#4Sur
38.10.5
20.620.1
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
5015
#6Sur
34.01.6
17.916.2
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
3145
#11Sur
24.60.5
20.820.2
Auto0.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
5725
#15Sur
18.41.6
6.65.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
4625
#29Sur
10.60.5
8.17.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4633
#19Sur
16.01.6
9.07.4
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0