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Red52
563020.0
574225.8
572518.4
Blue63
471946.9
559713.3
169515.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295501001502005263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.4
15.316.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 21.1
46.90.8
24.825.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
5630
#13
20.01.4
13.314.7
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 4.8
1695
#18
15.30.8
13.414.2
Auto0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5725
#15
18.41.4
6.07.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 5.1
5597
#26
13.30.8
15.316.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0