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Red50
462721.4
463413.5
356226.4
Blue44
501534.0
460412.2
449719.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45432060805044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.3
21.121.3
Auto0.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
blue by 7.6
34.00.2
17.617.5
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
21.40.3
11.912.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
4497
#17
19.90.2
17.817.6
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
4634
#22
13.50.4
11.712.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
4604
#27
12.20.2
10.810.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0