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Red44
511710.3
563020.0
213038.1
Blue25
511817.6
559713.3
473317.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060801001201404425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.6
25.925.3
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 20.5
5118
#25
17.60.7
10.39.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
5630
#13
20.00.6
15.514.9
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
4733
#21
17.00.7
15.614.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5117
#31
10.30.6
10.29.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5597
#26
13.30.7
13.913.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0