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Red50
506421.4
501534.0
507817.7
Blue6
351315.3
562019.7
314524.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56551030405060506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.6
21.220.6
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 9.4
3145
#11
24.63.5
28.424.9
Auto0.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
5064
#14
21.40.6
23.723.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
5620
#12
19.73.5
16.613.1
Auto0.0
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5078
#24
17.70.6
13.012.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
3513
#30
15.33.5
12.48.9
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0