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Red72
459119.4
507817.7
201337.4
Blue60
529615.8
471946.9
572518.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545230406070807260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.8
29.430.2
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
46.90.4
31.632.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
4591
#10
19.41.2
13.815.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
5725
#15
18.40.4
11.712.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5078
#24
17.71.2
12.413.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
5296
#28
15.80.4
10.711.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0