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Red106
213038.1
501534.0
401016.2
Blue104
561514.9
433433.4
462721.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604302080100120106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.13.4
25.328.6
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 4.7
33.42.8
27.930.7
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
34.03.4
20.623.9
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 12.6
21.42.8
14.417.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4010
#16
16.22.3
13.616.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
5615
#23
14.94.1
5.39.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0