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Red30
351315.3
559713.3
463316.0
Blue55
463413.5
169515.3
562019.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39380102030506070803055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4633
#19
16.00.6
16.015.4
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
5620
#12
19.71.0
13.114.1
Auto0.0
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
3513
#30
15.30.6
8.98.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
1695
#18
15.31.0
12.513.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5597
#26
13.30.6
13.212.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4634
#22
13.51.0
15.716.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0