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Red59
574225.8
473317.0
506421.4
Blue87
460412.2
433433.4
201337.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517401001502005987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
18.618.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 11.6
37.40.7
30.230.9
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
5064
#14
21.40.2
23.223.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 12.0
33.40.7
30.731.4
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
4733
#21
17.00.2
14.915.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.8
4604
#27
12.21.0
12.213.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0