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Red0
507817.7
463413.5
463316.0
Blue18
561514.9
511710.3
574225.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31200406080100018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5078
#24
17.72.6
14.511.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
25.816.7
25.89.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
4633
#19
16.02.6
9.16.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
5615
#23
14.95.8
14.99.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4634
#22
13.52.6
7.34.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 3.2
5117
#31
10.30.6
5.86.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0