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Red26
559713.3
449719.9
562918.1
Blue98
506421.4
562019.7
201337.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2246060801001201401602698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4497
#17
19.90.5
10.010.4
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 17.5
37.42.7
23.025.7
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
5629
#20
18.10.5
7.88.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5064
#14
21.44.5
10.615.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5597
#26
13.34.3
13.39.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 6.4
5620
#12
19.74.5
9.914.5
Auto0.0
Teleop19.7
End0.0