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Red70
459119.4
148226.2
433433.4
Blue8
460412.2
511817.6
561514.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452106080100120708

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.5
19.521.0
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 15.8
5118
#25
17.61.4
6.24.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
26.22.3
14.016.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 11.3
5615
#23
14.91.4
9.17.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4591
#10
19.42.3
9.211.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 7.3
4604
#27
12.21.4
10.08.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0