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Red46
507817.7
561514.9
562019.7
Blue71
462510.6
563020.0
201337.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316202040801001201404671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5620
#12
19.70.5
14.214.8
Auto0.0
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 17.7
37.40.6
30.931.5
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
5078
#24
17.70.6
13.614.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5630
#13
20.00.8
17.618.4
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
5615
#23
14.90.6
9.39.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
4625
#29
10.60.8
10.511.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0