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Red62
148226.2
529615.8
562918.1
Blue104
501534.0
459119.4
574225.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4467010015020062104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.1
22.223.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 7.8
34.02.3
27.529.8
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
5629
#20
18.11.1
13.514.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 7.7
25.82.3
21.223.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
5296
#28
15.81.1
14.015.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4591
#10
19.42.3
17.720.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0