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Red64
462721.4
213038.1
507817.7
Blue79
511817.6
433433.4
501534.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616801002003004005006479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.0
31.331.3
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
34.00.5
29.830.3
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
21.40.0
18.718.7
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 12.0
33.40.5
31.431.9
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
5078
#24
17.70.0
14.214.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 0.1
5118
#25
17.60.6
8.08.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0