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Red41
401016.2
511710.3
449719.9
Blue38
529615.8
473317.0
460412.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464430405060704138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4497
#17
19.90.4
20.319.9
Auto0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 2.9
4733
#21
17.00.4
17.417.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
4010
#16
16.20.3
16.616.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 0.4
5296
#28
15.80.4
15.114.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
5117
#31
10.30.4
10.710.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4604
#27
12.20.4
13.312.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0